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ILSHS > Volume 11 > Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Iran
Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Iran
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Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Iran

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Abstract:

This paper examines causal relationships between Government Recurrent Expenditure (GRE) and GDP for Iran using annual data over the period 1970-2010. The Gregory-Hansen (1996) cointegration technique, allowing for the presence of potential structural breaks in data, is applied to empirically examine the long-run co-movement between these variables. The results suggest that there is a long-run relationship between these variables. The Granger Causality test indicates strong unidirectional effects from GDP to GRE. But there is no evidence that TRE promotes long-term economic growth. Moreover, the main results in this paper confirm that there is an instantaneous as well as unidirectional causal link running from GDP to GRE. Based on the results, the policy makers should ensure that recurrent expenditures are properly managed to accelerate economic growth. Moreover, government should promote efficiency in the allocation of resources by encouraging more private sector participation to ensure productivity-intensive growth.

Info:

Periodical:
International Letters of Social and Humanistic Sciences (Volume 11)
Pages:
76-83
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18052/www.scipress.com/ILSHS.11.76
Citation:
M. Mehrara et al., "Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Iran", International Letters of Social and Humanistic Sciences, Vol. 11, pp. 76-83, 2013
Online since:
September 2013
Authors:
Mohsen Mehrara, Hamid Abrishami, Mostafa Boroujli, Mahan Amin
Keywords:
Cointegration, Economic Growth, Government Recurrent Expenditure, Granger Causality, Unit Root
Export:
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Distribution:
Open Access

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-12-2016-0365

[2] I. Iskandar, R. Willett, S. Xu, "The development of a government cash forecasting model", Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting & Financial Management, Vol. 30, p. 368, 2018

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JPBAFM-04-2018-0036